The end of days? Or just Article 50Pepperells
Much has been written since the country decided it no longer wanted to be part of the European Union (EU). It was by the narrowest of margins, but it was decisive.
After a great deal of speculation and politicking from those of all hues, the Prime Minister, Theresa May, will today invoke Article 50 – this is the beginning of the official process for us to leave the union.
Here will follow up to two years of negotiations. If we fail to land a “deal” before this date in 2019, we leave. The pressure really is on now.
The negotiations will focus on foundation principles the EU project is built upon – known my many as the “four freedoms”. This is the free movement of people, goods, services and capital.
It is clear we want some of these things, but limits or controls on others.
“Goods” and “services” will be the focus of any trade deals while capital is in a category of its own and could become the simplest or the most complex part of the negotiations. The banking system is no longer local, even national – it is part of a global network and London is the epicentre.
The biggest impact locally will be the people part. Using data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), of the EU-born migrants in the UK, the number of those in work increased to 2.2m to September 2016; two thirds of the EU-born migrants are in employment.
A separate (ONS) data set shows an estimated 185,000 EU-born citizens are living in Yorkshire and the Humber – with two thirds of them anticipated to be work, that suggests there are 120,000 people in Yorkshire and the Humber who do not know what their rights will be.
Closer to home, in Hull, there are an estimated 13,000 EU-born migrants, in the East Riding 7,000 – in North Lincolnshire the figure is 7,000 and 4,000 in North East Lincolnshire; 31,000 in total.
Just near Pepperells offices – in Hull, Scunthorpe and Grimsby – there are as many as 20,000 EU-born migrants working in this region, most unsure of what today will mean and what the future holds.
The Permanent Secretary to the Home Office Mark Sedwill has said the rights of these people will be subject to Brexit negotiations and the “will of Parliament”. However, Sedwill also explained those nationals “with a right to permanent residence” can stay in the UK after it leaves the EU.
Many of the 20,000 people have a right to stay under existing legislation – legislation that will not be revoked any time soon. But the clock is ticking.
Sedwill said that the rights of anyone granted residence after five years were “quite clear” in law – it amounts to a guarantee of their future status.
While the prevailing geopolitical climate has created an atmosphere of uncertainty and many of these people feel vulnerable, at Pepperells we offer a solution to this.
We have a committed and competitive immigration department who can help these people facing uncertainty gain certainty and secure their future.
Article 50 is not the end, it is just the beginning of the end and the need to be swift is clear. Follow the banner below for a questionnaire we have created to help you secure your future.